Smart Money: Five College Football Picks For Week Eight

As if week six wasn’t crazy enough, last week’s college football action went even further. Friday night alone saw Clemson downed by Tennessee and eighth-ranked Washington State fall to California 37-3.

Saturday didn’t disappoint either, as Auburn went full Matt Ryan mode and blew a huge lead at LSU, while San Diego State lost by 18 to the unranked Boise State Broncos. From an entertainment perspective we can only hope for more upsets, but for the sake of these picks, let’s hope week eight is a little more predictable.

Banker of the Week: Michigan +10.5 at Penn State

Yes, Michigan’s offense looked awful against MSU, and they didn’t look much better in the win at Indiana last week, but expect them to cover here. Saquon Barkley hasn’t rushed for over 70 yards in back-to-back seasons against Michigan, and the Wolverines beat Penn State by 39 points last year, so there would need to be a 50 point swing for the Nittany Lions to beat the spread. Oh, and Michigan has only lost by 10 or more points once since Jim Harbaugh took over in 2015.

Prediction: Michigan 21 – 27 Penn State

Hunch of the Week: Central Florida -7.5 at Navy

I’m backing UCF as my hunch of the week because I’ve backed them three weeks running and they’ve covered every time. The Knights are undefeated against the spread this year (5-0) and have won their five games this season by a combined 169 points. Navy aren’t easy to beat, but they’re coming off a tough loss at Memphis and UCF have shown me enough so far to trust them for the fourth week running.

Prediction: UCF 41 – 24 Navy

Under of the Week: Troy at Georgia State (Under 49.5 points)

Troy has been a model of consistency this season from a points perspective, staying below the under in all six games. The visitors have yet to score 28 points in a game this season, and have hit the over just four times in 13 conference games since 2015. Georgia State have only hit the over in two out of five games this season, and the under is 12-6 for the Panthers in conference games since 2015.

Prediction: Troy 24 – 17 Georgia State

Over of the Week: Maryland at Wisconsin (Over 50.5 points)

The only result that makes sense here is a huge Wisconsin win, but the Terrapins know how to score enough to help the over. Not only is Maryland 5-1 for the over this season, they’re beating it by an average of 13 points.

Wisconsin is also hitting the over more often than not at 4-2. Maryland are down to their third string quarterback, but the run game should put up some points behind Ty Johnson, who is averaging 7.2 yards per carry this season.

Prediction: Maryland 17 – 41 Wisconsin

Upset Alert: Oklahoma State at Texas +7.5

Texas is 2-0 against the spread as an underdog this season, and last week’s close loss to Oklahoma won’t deter the promising signs they’ve shown with freshman quarterback Sam Ehlinger. The offense put up 428 yards vs Oklahoma last week, and the defense improved in the second half giving up just one field goal and a touchdown on a broken coverage. The Cowboys have put up big numbers this season, but expect the Longhorns to hang with them in this one.

Prediction: Oklahoma State 38 – 35 Texas

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