Alternative League Table: Koeman Should Never Have Been Sacked

Craig Shakespeare, Ronald Koeman and Frank de Boer have already been handed their P45s, with the trio’s levels of ‘deserving to be axed’, extremely varied.

Many looked at Leicester City’s decision to depart with Shakespeare, the man who steadied the sinking ship of Premier League-winning egos from the Championship abyss, as a surprising and harsh sacking. However, the Foxes underperformed – based on ‘expected results’ – in all of their eight Premier League games under Shakespeare, this season, apart from one game – a performance rating of +1.02 – based on CLICKON’s algorithm of expected results versus actual outcome – was achieved in the Foxes’ 2-0 win over Brighton & Hove Albion.

The sacking of Ronald Koeman came down to a lot of issues, from style of play to amount spent in the summer – the Toffees won the transfer window, don’t you know?! – but as managers are so often reminded of: it’s a results-based business.

And taking the blue half of Merseyside’s results so far – including the one game under David Unsworth’s caretaker management – which has included a run of Manchester City, Chelsea, Tottenham Hotspur and then Manchester United, with Arsenal thrown in for good measure down the line; a series of five games where 0 points was the expected outcome (in the eyes of the bookies), therefore, the eight points from the other five matches that Everton have obtained isn’t *too* far off the expectations of Wayne Rooney & co.

Based on the CLICKON algorithm, Everton’s third from bottom position is exactly where they should’ve expected to find themselves 10 games into the season.

With an upcoming run of Watford at home, Crystal Palace and Southampton away, with West Ham then being welcomed to Goodison Park, based on expected results, the Toffees will find themselves in a much healthier position – and with 41.66% of their games against the ‘top six’ already played (assuming they do continue to perform as expected), then Koeman should’ve been given those four games.

Unluckily for Koeman, we don’t believe any of the Everton hierarchy read CLICKON, because if they did, the Dutchman would still be trying to pretend Wayne Rooney isn’t finished. However, if any of the Liverpool powers that be are currently giving this a skim-read, we’d suggest thinking long and hard about sacking, Jurgen Klopp – or, as we like to call him, ‘the biggest underperforming manager of the Premier League season so far’.

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